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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Wan Kei Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:1718) Shares After Tumbling 29%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 24, 2023 20:11

Wan Kei Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1718) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Wan Kei Group Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Construction industry in Hong Kong is about the same. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Wan Kei Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1718 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023

How Has Wan Kei Group Holdings Performed Recently?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Wan Kei Group Holdings recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Wan Kei Group Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Wan Kei Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wan Kei Group Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Wan Kei Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 13% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Wan Kei Group Holdings' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Following Wan Kei Group Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Wan Kei Group Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Wan Kei Group Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Wan Kei Group Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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