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Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600519) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 24, 2023 19:36

When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may consider Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600519) as an attractive investment with its 29.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Kweichow Moutai as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Kweichow Moutai

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600519 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Kweichow Moutai's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Kweichow Moutai?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kweichow Moutai would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 60% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 22% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Kweichow Moutai's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Kweichow Moutai's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Kweichow Moutai maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kweichow Moutai you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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