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AMREP Corporation (NYSE:AXR) Surges 29% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 23, 2023 07:00

AMREP Corporation (NYSE:AXR) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 83%.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider AMREP as a highly attractive investment with its 6.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, AMREP has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for AMREP

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:AXR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on AMREP will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is AMREP's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, AMREP would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 32% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 10% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that AMREP's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Bottom Line On AMREP's P/E

Even after such a strong price move, AMREP's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of AMREP revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for AMREP that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than AMREP. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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