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There's Reason For Concern Over Fluence Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FLNC) Massive 32% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 22, 2023 05:48

Fluence Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLNC) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 32% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 39%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Fluence Energy's P/S ratio of 1.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electrical industry in the United States is also close to 1.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Fluence Energy

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NasdaqGS:FLNC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023

How Has Fluence Energy Performed Recently?

Fluence Energy certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Fluence Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Fluence Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

Fluence Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 85% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 295% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 28% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 68% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Fluence Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Fluence Energy's P/S?

Fluence Energy's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

When you consider that Fluence Energy's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fluence Energy that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Fluence Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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