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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002399) Shares

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 20:34

It's not a stretch to say that Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002399) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002399 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023

What Does Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 16% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.6% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 40%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Having said that, be aware Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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