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Mersana Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRSN) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 07:29

Despite an already strong run, Mersana Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRSN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 66% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Mersana Therapeutics may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.6x and even P/S higher than 49x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Mersana Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MRSN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

How Mersana Therapeutics Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Mersana Therapeutics has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Mersana Therapeutics.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Mersana Therapeutics?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Mersana Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 243% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 19% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 235% per year.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Mersana Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Mersana Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Mersana Therapeutics' P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Mersana Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Mersana Therapeutics you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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