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Repare Therapeutics Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RPTX) Share Price Boosted 30% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 07:12

Those holding Repare Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:RPTX) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 55% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Repare Therapeutics may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.6x and even P/S higher than 49x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Repare Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RPTX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

How Repare Therapeutics Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Repare Therapeutics' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Repare Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Repare Therapeutics?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Repare Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 53%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 15% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 235% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Repare Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Repare Therapeutics' P/S

Repare Therapeutics' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's clear to see that Repare Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Repare Therapeutics (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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