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AMC Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:AMCX) Shares Fly 32% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 06:06

Despite an already strong run, AMC Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:AMCX) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 35%.

Although its price has surged higher, AMC Networks' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Media industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.9x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for AMC Networks

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AMCX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

What Does AMC Networks' Recent Performance Look Like?

There hasn't been much to differentiate AMC Networks' and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AMC Networks will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like AMC Networks' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by 6.3% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 5.1% each year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.1% each year.

In light of this, it's understandable that AMC Networks' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On AMC Networks' P/S

Despite AMC Networks' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It's clear to see that AMC Networks maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, AMC Networks' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for AMC Networks (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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