The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Precision Tsugami (China) Corporation Limited (HKG:1651), despite the profit numbers being soft. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.
Check out our latest analysis for Precision Tsugami (China)
A Closer Look At Precision Tsugami (China)'s Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to September 2023, Precision Tsugami (China) recorded an accrual ratio of -0.17. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥784m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥499.8m. Precision Tsugami (China)'s free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Precision Tsugami (China)'s Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Precision Tsugami (China)'s accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Precision Tsugami (China)'s underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Precision Tsugami (China) as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example - Precision Tsugami (China) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Precision Tsugami (China)'s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.