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Why Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' (HKG:2682) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 19, 2023 18:08

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:2682) weak earnings. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings

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SEHK:2682 Earnings and Revenue History December 19th 2023

A Closer Look At Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to September 2023, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.30. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$7.4m despite its profit of HK$41.0m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings generated positive FCF of HK$62m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$12m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Profit Performance

Summing up, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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