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Fate Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FATE) Share Price Boosted 30% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 19, 2023 14:35

The Fate Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:FATE) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. But the last month did very little to improve the 75% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Fate Therapeutics may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.5x and even P/S higher than 49x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Fate Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:FATE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

What Does Fate Therapeutics' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Fate Therapeutics as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Fate Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Fate Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 54%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 58% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 222% each year.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Fate Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Fate Therapeutics have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that Fate Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Fate Therapeutics' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Fate Therapeutics (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Fate Therapeutics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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