share_log

Illumina, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ILMN) 37% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 19, 2023 05:18

Those holding Illumina, Inc. (NASDAQ:ILMN) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 37% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Life Sciences industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.8x, you may consider Illumina as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Illumina

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ILMN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

How Has Illumina Performed Recently?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Illumina has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the industry. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Illumina will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Illumina's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.0% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 38% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.4% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 4.6% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Illumina is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Illumina's P/S

The large bounce in Illumina's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into Illumina shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Illumina with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment