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Axcelis Technologies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ACLS) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 14:34

Axcelis Technologies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ACLS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.2x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Axcelis Technologies certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Axcelis Technologies

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ACLS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Axcelis Technologies.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Axcelis Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 45% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 420% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Axcelis Technologies' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Axcelis Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Axcelis Technologies with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Axcelis Technologies. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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