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Investors Don't See Light At End Of SecureWorks Corp.'s (NASDAQ:SCWX) Tunnel

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 08:57

SecureWorks Corp.'s (NASDAQ:SCWX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.4x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for SecureWorks

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SCWX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does SecureWorks' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, SecureWorks' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think SecureWorks' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For SecureWorks?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, SecureWorks would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 30% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 9.1% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that SecureWorks is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's clear to see that SecureWorks maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - SecureWorks has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SecureWorks, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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