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What Immunocore Holdings Plc's (NASDAQ:IMCR) 37% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 08:36

Immunocore Holdings plc (NASDAQ:IMCR) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 11% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Immunocore Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 11.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Immunocore Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:IMCR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Immunocore Holdings Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Immunocore Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Immunocore Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Immunocore Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Immunocore Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 88% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 221% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Immunocore Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Immunocore Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Given that Immunocore Holdings' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Having said that, be aware Immunocore Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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