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Poseida Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSTX) Shares Fly 43% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 06:11

Poseida Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSTX) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 43% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 39% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Poseida Therapeutics may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.6x and even P/S higher than 49x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Poseida Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:PSTX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Poseida Therapeutics Performed Recently?

Poseida Therapeutics hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Poseida Therapeutics.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Poseida Therapeutics?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Poseida Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 67%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 43% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 221% per annum.

With this information, we are not surprised that Poseida Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Poseida Therapeutics' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Poseida Therapeutics' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Poseida Therapeutics' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Poseida Therapeutics (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Poseida Therapeutics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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