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Revenues Not Telling The Story For China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings Limited (HKG:39) After Shares Rise 48%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 21:10

The China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings Limited (HKG:39) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 48%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Retail Distributors industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:39 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings Has Been Performing

For instance, China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.9%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.1% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S

China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You need to take note of risks, for example - China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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