What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. And from a first read, things don't look too good at Atrion (NASDAQ:ATRI), so let's see why.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Atrion is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.099 = US$25m ÷ (US$265m - US$15m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, Atrion has an ROCE of 9.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Medical Equipment industry average of 9.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for Atrion
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Atrion's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Atrion has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Atrion. About five years ago, returns on capital were 19%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Atrion to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line
In summary, it's unfortunate that Atrion is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 44% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Atrion, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
While Atrion may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.