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Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Cross-Harbour (Holdings)'s (HKG:32) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 14, 2023 17:06

The Cross-Harbour (Holdings) Limited (HKG:32) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Thus, you can purchase Cross-Harbour (Holdings)'s shares before the 19th of December in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 3rd of January.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.06 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of HK$0.42 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Cross-Harbour (Holdings) has a trailing yield of approximately 5.4% on its current stock price of HK$7.8. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to investigate whether Cross-Harbour (Holdings) can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

View our latest analysis for Cross-Harbour (Holdings)

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Last year Cross-Harbour (Holdings) paid out 92% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Cross-Harbour (Holdings) generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Cross-Harbour (Holdings) paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 120%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Cross-Harbour (Holdings) does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Cross-Harbour (Holdings)'s payouts were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit Cross-Harbour (Holdings) paid out over the last 12 months.

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SEHK:32 Historic Dividend December 14th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Cross-Harbour (Holdings)'s earnings per share have plummeted approximately 32% a year over the previous five years.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past 10 years, Cross-Harbour (Holdings) has increased its dividend at approximately 3.4% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Cross-Harbour (Holdings) is already paying out 92% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

To Sum It Up

Is Cross-Harbour (Holdings) worth buying for its dividend? Not only are earnings per share declining, but Cross-Harbour (Holdings) is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. This is a clearly suboptimal combination that usually suggests the dividend is at risk of being cut. If not now, then perhaps in the future. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

So if you're still interested in Cross-Harbour (Holdings) despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cross-Harbour (Holdings) you should know about.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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