By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Shaanxi Heimao Coking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601015), which is up 21%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 17% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 1.1% , including dividends .
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Shaanxi Heimao Coking investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.
Check out our latest analysis for Shaanxi Heimao Coking
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Over the last three years, Shaanxi Heimao Coking failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 43% (annualized).
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.
It could be that the revenue growth of 23% per year is viewed as evidence that Shaanxi Heimao Coking is growing. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
This free interactive report on Shaanxi Heimao Coking's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shaanxi Heimao Coking the TSR over the last 3 years was 45%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Shaanxi Heimao Coking shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 1.1% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 7% a year, is even better. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shaanxi Heimao Coking better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shaanxi Heimao Coking you should know about.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.