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Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX): Is Breakeven Near?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 14, 2023 08:58

We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Ardelyx, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARDX) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Ardelyx, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat gastrointestinal and cardiorenal therapeutic areas in the United States and internationally. The US$1.2b market-cap company's loss lessened since it announced a US$67m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$27m, as it approaches breakeven. As path to profitability is the topic on Ardelyx's investors mind, we've decided to gauge market sentiment. Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts' expectations for the company.

Check out our latest analysis for Ardelyx

Consensus from 8 of the American Biotechs analysts is that Ardelyx is on the verge of breakeven. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2024, before generating positive profits of US$43m in 2025. So, the company is predicted to breakeven approximately 2 years from now. In order to meet this breakeven date, we calculated the rate at which the company must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 72% is expected, which is extremely buoyant. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGM:ARDX Earnings Per Share Growth December 14th 2023

Underlying developments driving Ardelyx's growth isn't the focus of this broad overview, however, take into account that typically a biotech has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the product type and stage of development the company is in. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we'd like to point out is that The company has managed its capital prudently, with debt making up 14% of equity. This means that it has predominantly funded its operations from equity capital, and its low debt obligation reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of Ardelyx to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – Ardelyx's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of key aspects you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is Ardelyx worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Ardelyx is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Ardelyx's board and the CEO's background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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