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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AVAH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 46%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 13, 2023 05:16

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAH) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 46% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 164% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may still consider Aveanna Healthcare Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AVAH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 13th 2023

What Does Aveanna Healthcare Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Aveanna Healthcare Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.7%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 25% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 4.3% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 7.5%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Aveanna Healthcare Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Aveanna Healthcare Holdings' P/S?

Despite Aveanna Healthcare Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Aveanna Healthcare Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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