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Werewolf Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOWL) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 9, 2023 07:13

Werewolf Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOWL) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 62% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Werewolf Therapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11x and even P/S above 47x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Werewolf Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:HOWL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 9th 2023

How Werewolf Therapeutics Has Been Performing

Werewolf Therapeutics certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Werewolf Therapeutics.

How Is Werewolf Therapeutics' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Werewolf Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 182%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 13% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 219% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that Werewolf Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, Werewolf Therapeutics' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's clear to see that Werewolf Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Werewolf Therapeutics' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Werewolf Therapeutics (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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