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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd (SHSE:605009)?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 8, 2023 19:45

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's (SHSE:605009) recent performance, when its stock has declined 5.6% over the past week. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care is:

15% = CN¥471m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.15 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

At first glance, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 11%. However, for some reason, the higher returns aren't reflected in Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's meagre five year net income growth average of 3.5%. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. Such a scenario is likely to take place when a company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

As a next step, we compared Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 4.4% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605009 Past Earnings Growth December 9th 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 605009 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 605009 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 37% (implying that the company retains the remaining 63% of its income), Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

In addition, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 34% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 17%.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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