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Zhong Fu Tong Group (SZSE:300560) Investors Are up 20% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Year

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 5, 2023 20:20

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the Zhong Fu Tong Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300560) share price is 51% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market decline of around 9.5% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! However, the stock hasn't done so well in the longer term, with the stock only up 9.6% in three years.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Zhong Fu Tong Group investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's one-year performance.

See our latest analysis for Zhong Fu Tong Group

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over the last twelve months, Zhong Fu Tong Group actually shrank its EPS by 27%.

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

We are skeptical of the suggestion that the 0.2% dividend yield would entice buyers to the stock. We think that the revenue growth of 26% could have some investors interested. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300560 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 6th 2023

If you are thinking of buying or selling Zhong Fu Tong Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Zhong Fu Tong Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 51% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Zhong Fu Tong Group (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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