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Hecla Mining Company (NYSE:HL) Stock Rockets 27% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 2, 2023 07:28

Hecla Mining Company (NYSE:HL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 10% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Hecla Mining is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Hecla Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 2nd 2023

What Does Hecla Mining's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Hecla Mining has been doing quite well of late. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader industry headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Hecla Mining's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hecla Mining?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hecla Mining would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.4% gain to the company's revenues. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 2.2% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 533% each year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hecla Mining is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Hecla Mining's P/S

Hecla Mining's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Hecla Mining's analyst forecasts revealed that its shrinking revenue outlook isn't drawing down its high P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenue decline likely to impact the positive sentiment that's propping up the P/S. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hecla Mining that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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