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Is Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop (SZSE:300792) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop (SZSE:300792) Using Too Much Debt?

杭州Onechance Tech Crop(深交所代碼:300792)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/01 17:44

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop. (SZSE:300792) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人說,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,聰明的貨幣似乎知道債務——通常與破產有關——是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,杭州Onechance Tech Crop。(SZSE: 300792) 利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新資本或自由現金流還清債務。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,銀行家無情地清算倒閉的企業。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop

查看我們對杭州 Onechance Tech Crop 的最新分析

What Is Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop's Debt?

杭州 Onechance Tech Crop 的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop had debt of CN¥35.6m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥57.0m over a year. However, it does have CN¥900.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥865.1m.

您可以點擊下圖了解更多詳細信息,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,杭州Onechance Tech Crop的債務爲3560萬元人民幣,低於一年的5,700萬元人民幣。但是,它確實有9.007億元人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲8.651億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300792 Debt to Equity History December 1st 2023
深交所:300792 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 12 月 1 日

How Healthy Is Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop's Balance Sheet?

杭州 Onechance Tech Crop 的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop had liabilities of CN¥255.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥26.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥900.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥463.9m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.08b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

縱觀最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,杭州Onechance Tech Crop在12個月內到期的負債爲2.551億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲2670萬元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有9.007億元人民幣的現金以及價值4.639億元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有人民幣108億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明,杭州Onechance Tech Crop正在以一種看似既安全又保守的方式使用債務。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,杭州Onechance Tech Crop的現金多於債務這一事實可以說很好地表明它可以安全地管理債務。

In fact Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 44% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

實際上,杭州Onechance Tech Crop的儲蓄空間是其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了44%。收益下降(如果這種趨勢持續下去)最終也可能使即使是適度的債務也變得相當危險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定杭州Onechance Tech Crop能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法削減債務。儘管杭州Onechance Tech Crop的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,杭州Onechance Tech Crop的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候得到逆轉,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更大。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop has net cash of CN¥865.1m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

儘管我們同情那些認爲債務相關的投資者,但您應該記住,杭州Onechance Tech Crop的淨現金爲8.651億元人民幣,流動資產也多於負債。因此,我們對杭州Onechance Tech Crop的債務使用並不感到困擾。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,杭州 Onechance Tech Crop 有 2 個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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