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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Renco Holdings Group Limited's (HKG:2323) 47% Share Price Climb

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 30, 2023 17:22

Renco Holdings Group Limited (HKG:2323) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 47% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 41% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Renco Holdings Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Electronic industry is similar at about 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Renco Holdings Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2323 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 30th 2023

What Does Renco Holdings Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Renco Holdings Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Renco Holdings Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Renco Holdings Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 29%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 195% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Renco Holdings Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Renco Holdings Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Renco Holdings Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Renco Holdings Group that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Renco Holdings Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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