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Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (NYSE:ELAN): When Will It Breakeven?

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 28, 2023 09:07

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Elanco Animal Health Incorporated's (NYSE:ELAN) future prospects. Elanco Animal Health Incorporated, an animal health company, innovates, develops, manufactures, and markets products for pets and farm animals. The US$5.9b market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of US$78m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$1.1b leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Elanco Animal Health will turn a profit, with the big question being "when will the company breakeven?" In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.

Check out our latest analysis for Elanco Animal Health

Elanco Animal Health is bordering on breakeven, according to the 8 American Pharmaceuticals analysts. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2024, before generating positive profits of US$41m in 2025. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 2 years from today. In order to meet this breakeven date, we calculated the rate at which the company must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 96% is expected, which is extremely buoyant. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

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NYSE:ELAN Earnings Per Share Growth November 28th 2023

Given this is a high-level overview, we won't go into details of Elanco Animal Health's upcoming projects, however, keep in mind that typically a pharma company has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the drug and stage of product development the business is in. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

Before we wrap up, there's one issue worth mentioning. Elanco Animal Health currently has a relatively high level of debt. Generally, the rule of thumb is debt shouldn't exceed 40% of your equity, which in Elanco Animal Health's case is 96%. Note that a higher debt obligation increases the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of Elanco Animal Health to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – Elanco Animal Health's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of pertinent aspects you should further examine:

  1. Valuation: What is Elanco Animal Health worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Elanco Animal Health is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Elanco Animal Health's board and the CEO's background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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