share_log

Is Jizhong Energy Resources (SZSE:000937) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Jizhong Energy Resources (SZSE:000937) Using Too Much Debt?

濟中能源資源(深交所股票代碼:000937)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/27 22:43

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Jizhong Energy Resources Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000937) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”當你研究公司的資產負債表的風險時,自然會考慮它的資產負債表,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,冀中能源有限公司(深交所代碼:000937)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多少風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for Jizhong Energy Resources

查看我們對濟中能源資源的最新分析

What Is Jizhong Energy Resources's Debt?

吉中能源的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Jizhong Energy Resources had CN¥15.9b of debt, an increase on CN¥12.8b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥10.9b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥5.01b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,冀中能源在一年內有159億元人民幣的債務,比128億元人民幣增加了128億元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲109億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲50.1億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000937 Debt to Equity History November 28th 2023
深交所:000937 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 28 日

How Healthy Is Jizhong Energy Resources' Balance Sheet?

冀中能源的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jizhong Energy Resources had liabilities of CN¥19.6b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥7.87b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥10.9b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.83b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥10.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,冀中能源在一年內到期的負債爲196億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲78.7億元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有109億元人民幣的現金以及價值58.3億元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出108億元人民幣。

Jizhong Energy Resources has a market capitalization of CN¥23.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

濟中能源的市值爲23.9億元人民幣,因此,如果有需要,它很可能會籌集資金來改善資產負債表。但是我們一定要睜大眼睛,看看有跡象表明其債務帶來了太大風險。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Jizhong Energy Resources has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.75. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. In fact Jizhong Energy Resources's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 43% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jizhong Energy Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

吉中能源的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.75。值得注意的是,儘管有淨負債,但在過去的十二個月中,它獲得的利息實際上超過了它必須支付的利息。因此,毫無疑問,這家公司可以在像黃瓜一樣保持冷靜的同時承擔債務。實際上,濟中能源的儲蓄空間是其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了43%。在還清債務方面,收入下降並不比含糖汽水對你的健康更有用。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定濟中能源能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Jizhong Energy Resources recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,儘管稅務員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否帶來了相應的自由現金流。在最近三年中,吉中能源的自由現金流佔其息稅前收益的58%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這基本處於正常水平。這種冷酷的硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Jizhong Energy Resources's EBIT growth rate and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Jizhong Energy Resources is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jizhong Energy Resources , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

在我們看來,吉中能源的息稅前利潤增長率和總負債水平無疑對其構成壓力。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地用息稅前利潤來支付利息支出。從上述各個角度來看,在我們看來,由於負債累累,冀中能源是一項風險較大的投資。這不一定是一件壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但這是需要注意的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經發現了吉中能源資源的1個警告信號,理解這些信號應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論