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Revenues Tell The Story For Alkami Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALKT) As Its Stock Soars 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 25, 2023 07:02

Alkami Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALKT) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 93% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Alkami Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 1.8x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Alkami Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ALKT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 25th 2023

What Does Alkami Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Alkami Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Alkami Technology.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Alkami Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 122% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 25% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 16% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Alkami Technology's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Shares in Alkami Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Alkami Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Having said that, be aware Alkami Technology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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