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Viad Corp's (NYSE:VVI) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 15, 2023 05:23

Viad Corp (NYSE:VVI) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 7.5% isn't as impressive.

Even after such a large jump in price, Viad may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Commercial Services industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.2x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Viad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:VVI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2023

What Does Viad's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent revenue growth for Viad has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Viad will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Viad?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Viad's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 76% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 7.7% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 10% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Viad is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Viad's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Viad maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Viad (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Viad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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