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Oatly Group AB (NASDAQ:OTLY) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 11, 2023 09:27

It's not a stretch to say that Oatly Group AB's (NASDAQ:OTLY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Food industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Oatly Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:OTLY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2023

How Has Oatly Group Performed Recently?

Recent revenue growth for Oatly Group has been in line with the industry. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Oatly Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Oatly Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Oatly Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.6%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 84% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.7% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 2.1% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Oatly Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Oatly Group's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Oatly Group you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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