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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For MoneyLion Inc. (NYSE:ML)

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 9, 2023 08:31

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.8x in the Consumer Finance industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about MoneyLion Inc.'s (NYSE:ML) P/S ratio of 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for MoneyLion

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ML Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 9th 2023

What Does MoneyLion's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, MoneyLion has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think MoneyLion's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like MoneyLion's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 35%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 22% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 33%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that MoneyLion's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On MoneyLion's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that MoneyLion's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for MoneyLion (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on MoneyLion, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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