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Caribou Biosciences, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRBU) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 9, 2023 05:50

There wouldn't be many who think Caribou Biosciences, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRBU) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Biotechs industry in the United States is similar at about 10.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Caribou Biosciences

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NasdaqGS:CRBU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 9th 2023

How Caribou Biosciences Has Been Performing

Caribou Biosciences certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Caribou Biosciences.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Caribou Biosciences?

Caribou Biosciences' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 172% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 180% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 12% each year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 184% per annum, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Caribou Biosciences is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our check of Caribou Biosciences' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Caribou Biosciences has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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