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Is Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603915) Stock's Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 6, 2023 18:31

Jiangsu Guomao Reducer (SHSE:603915) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 13% over the last week. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer is:

11% = CN¥387m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.11 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To begin with, Jiangsu Guomao Reducer seems to have a respectable ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 7.5% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This certainly adds some context to Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's decent 14% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 11% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603915 Past Earnings Growth November 6th 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 603915 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 31% (implying that the company retains 69% of its profits), it seems that Jiangsu Guomao Reducer is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Moreover, Jiangsu Guomao Reducer is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of three years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 34%. Regardless, the future ROE for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer is predicted to rise to 16% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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