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Is Hoyuan Green Energy (SHSE:603185) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Hoyuan Green Energy (SHSE:603185) Using Too Much Debt?

Hoyuan Green Energy(SHSE: 603185)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/01 19:34

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Hoyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603185) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,浩源綠色能源有限公司(SHSE: 603185)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

Check out our latest analysis for Hoyuan Green Energy

查看我們對Hoyuan Green Energy的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Hoyuan Green Energy Carry?

Hoyuan Green Energy揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hoyuan Green Energy had CN¥602.6m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥1.79b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥5.02b in cash, so it actually has CN¥4.41b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示Hoyuan Green Energy在2023年9月的債務爲6.026億元人民幣,低於一年前的17.9億元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有50.2億元人民幣的現金,因此它實際上有44.1億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603185 Debt to Equity History November 1st 2023
SHSE: 603185 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 1 日

How Healthy Is Hoyuan Green Energy's Balance Sheet?

Hoyuan Green Energy的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hoyuan Green Energy had liabilities of CN¥11.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥655.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.02b as well as receivables valued at CN¥647.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.63b.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Hoyuan Green Energy的負債爲116億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲6.558億元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有50.2億元人民幣的現金以及價值6.472億元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過現金和(近期)應收賬款總額66.3億元人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hoyuan Green Energy has a market capitalization of CN¥21.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Hoyuan Green Energy boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲Hoyuan Green Energy的市值爲216億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強資產負債表。但很明顯,我們絕對應該仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。儘管負債可觀,但Hoyuan Green Energy擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It is just as well that Hoyuan Green Energy's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 57% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hoyuan Green Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同樣,Hoyuan Green Energy的負荷並不太重,因爲其息稅前利潤比去年下降了57%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Hoyuan Green Energy能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Hoyuan Green Energy may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Hoyuan Green Energy reported free cash flow worth 3.8% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。Hoyuan Green Energy的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,Hoyuan Green Energy報告的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的3.8%,確實很低。對我們來說,低現金轉換率會引發一點偏執狂,那就是償還債務的能力。

Summing Up

總結

While Hoyuan Green Energy does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥4.41b. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Hoyuan Green Energy's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hoyuan Green Energy (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

儘管Hoyuan Green Energy的負債確實超過了流動資產,但其淨現金也爲44.1億元人民幣。因此,儘管我們看到了一些需要改進的領域,但我們對Hoyuan Green Energy的資產負債表並不太擔心。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了 Hoyuan Green Energy 的 3 個警告標誌(其中 1 個對我們來說不太合適!)你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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