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Some Identiv, Inc. (NASDAQ:INVE) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 27% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 31, 2023 06:07

Identiv, Inc. (NASDAQ:INVE) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 49% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Identiv's P/S ratio of 1.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in the United States is also close to 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Identiv

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:INVE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 31st 2023

How Has Identiv Performed Recently?

Recent revenue growth for Identiv has been in line with the industry. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre revenue performance to persist, which has held the P/S ratio back. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Identiv will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Identiv's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.5%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 46% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 23% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Identiv is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Identiv's P/S Mean For Investors?

Identiv's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given that Identiv's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Identiv has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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