share_log

Benign Growth For CuriosityStream Inc. (NASDAQ:CURI) Underpins Stock's 25% Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 29, 2023 08:06

To the annoyance of some shareholders, CuriosityStream Inc. (NASDAQ:CURI) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider CuriosityStream as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for CuriosityStream

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:CURI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 29th 2023

How CuriosityStream Has Been Performing

CuriosityStream hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CuriosityStream.

How Is CuriosityStream's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as CuriosityStream's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 108% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.5% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why CuriosityStream's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

The southerly movements of CuriosityStream's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of CuriosityStream's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for CuriosityStream that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment