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Is It Too Late To Consider Buying LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB)?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 27, 2023 09:01

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB). The company's stock saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$101 and falling to the lows of US$89.24. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether LyondellBasell Industries' current trading price of US$89.86 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at LyondellBasell Industries's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for LyondellBasell Industries

What Is LyondellBasell Industries Worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 13.83x is currently trading in-line with its industry peers' ratio, which means if you buy LyondellBasell Industries today, you'd be paying a relatively sensible price for it. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that LyondellBasell Industries's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will LyondellBasell Industries generate?

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NYSE:LYB Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. LyondellBasell Industries' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 70%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in LYB's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at LYB? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on LYB, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for LYB, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing LyondellBasell Industries at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for LyondellBasell Industries you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in LyondellBasell Industries, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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