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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For New Amante Group Limited's (HKG:8412) Shares After Tumbling 50%

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 25, 2023 18:03

New Amante Group Limited (HKG:8412) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 50% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 43% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think New Amante Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry is similar at about 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for New Amante Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8412 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 25th 2023

How New Amante Group Has Been Performing

New Amante Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on New Amante Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for New Amante Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like New Amante Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 110%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 128% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 41% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that New Amante Group's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does New Amante Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

New Amante Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of New Amante Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for New Amante Group (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on New Amante Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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