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Byrna Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:BYRN) Stock Rockets 33% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 24, 2023 06:13

Byrna Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:BYRN) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 42% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Byrna Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Aerospace & Defense industry is similar at about 1.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Byrna Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:BYRN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 24th 2023

What Does Byrna Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Byrna Technologies' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Byrna Technologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Byrna Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

Byrna Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were nothing to write home about. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.8% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.9% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Byrna Technologies' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Byrna Technologies' P/S

Byrna Technologies appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Byrna Technologies' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Byrna Technologies you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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