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Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:601952) Sheds 3.6% This Week, as Yearly Returns Fall More in Line With Earnings Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 23, 2023 00:59

Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601952) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 17% in the last quarter. On the other hand the returns over the last half decade have not been bad. The share price is up 53%, which is better than the market return of 47%.

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd managed to grow its earnings per share at 5.2% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 9% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601952 Earnings Per Share Growth October 23rd 2023

Dive deeper into Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was 70%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 6.5% in the twelve months, Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 17% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 11%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

We will like Jiangsu Provincial Agricultural Reclamation and DevelopmentLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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