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Benign Growth For Applied DNA Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:APDN) Underpins Stock's 27% Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 15, 2023 08:35

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Applied DNA Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:APDN) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, Applied DNA Sciences' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Life Sciences industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.3x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Applied DNA Sciences

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:APDN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 15th 2023

How Has Applied DNA Sciences Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Applied DNA Sciences' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Applied DNA Sciences' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Applied DNA Sciences' Revenue Growth Trending?

Applied DNA Sciences' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.5%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, despite the drawbacks experienced in the last 12 months. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 29% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 0.7%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Applied DNA Sciences' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Applied DNA Sciences' P/S Mean For Investors?

Applied DNA Sciences' P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's clear to see that Applied DNA Sciences maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Applied DNA Sciences' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Applied DNA Sciences (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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