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Is Visionox Technology (SZSE:002387) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 14, 2023 22:20

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Visionox Technology Inc. (SZSE:002387) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Visionox Technology

How Much Debt Does Visionox Technology Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Visionox Technology had CN¥11.2b of debt, up from CN¥9.46b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥5.04b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥6.18b.

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SZSE:002387 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2023

A Look At Visionox Technology's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Visionox Technology had liabilities of CN¥19.2b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.10b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.04b in cash and CN¥2.60b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥16.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥13.5b, we think shareholders really should watch Visionox Technology's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Visionox Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Visionox Technology's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Visionox Technology produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥3.2b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of CN¥2.6b didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Visionox Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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