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It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic Co., Ltd. (HKG:2145) For Its Next Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 13, 2023 18:16

It looks like Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic Co., Ltd. (HKG:2145) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 4 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. This means that investors who purchase Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's shares on or after the 18th of October will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of November.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.20 per share. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic paid out 94% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out more than half (68%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's good to see that while Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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SEHK:2145 Historic Dividend October 13th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. That's why it's comforting to see Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 21% per annum for the past five years.

We'd also point out that Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. Trying to grow the dividend while issuing large amounts of new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill.

This is Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's first year of paying a dividend, so it doesn't have much of a history yet to compare to.

To Sum It Up

Is Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Growing earnings per share and a normal cashflow payout ratio is an ok combination, but we're concerned that the company is paying out such a high percentage of its income as dividends. It might be worth researching if the company is reinvesting in growth projects that could grow earnings and dividends in the future, but for now we're not all that optimistic on its dividend prospects.

Wondering what the future holds for Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic? See what the three analysts we track are forecasting, with this visualisation of its historical and future estimated earnings and cash flow

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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