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Shenzhen MTC Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002429) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Shenzhen MTC Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002429) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

深圳MTC股份有限公司 (SZSE: 002429) 股票走強但基本面看起來不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/12 22:40

Shenzhen MTC's (SZSE:002429) stock is up by a considerable 7.8% over the past week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhen MTC's ROE today.

深圳捷運股份有限公司(SZSE:002429)的股票在過去一週大幅上漲了7.8%。然而,我們決定關注該公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並未給出該公司財務健康狀況的明確跡象。特別是今天我們將關注深圳捷運的淨資產收益率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

淨資產收益率,即股本回報率,是評估一家公司從股東那裡獲得投資回報的有效程度的有用工具。簡而言之,它衡量的是一家公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen MTC

查看我們對深圳捷運公司的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率是如何計算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

可使用以下公式計算淨資產收益率:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen MTC is:

因此,根據上述公式,深圳捷運中心的淨資產收益率為:

9.7% = CN¥1.4b ÷ CN¥14b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

9.7%=14億元×14億元(基於截至2023年6月的12個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.10 in profit.

“報稅表”是過去12個月的稅後收入。一種概念化的方法是,公司每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,就會獲得0.10元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前為止,我們瞭解到淨資產收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指標。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。一般來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存較高的公司比不具備這些特徵的公司有更高的增長率。

Shenzhen MTC's Earnings Growth And 9.7% ROE

深圳捷運盈利增長9.7%淨資產收益率

On the face of it, Shenzhen MTC's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.7%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Shenzhen MTC has shown a meagre net income growth of 4.9% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So this could also be one of the reasons behind the company's low growth in earnings.

從表面上看,深圳捷運的淨資產收益率(ROE)沒有太多可談的。不過,其淨資產收益率接近9.7%的行業平均水準,因此我們不會完全對該公司不屑一顧。話雖如此,深圳捷運有限公司在過去五年的淨收入增長僅為4.9%。請記住,該公司的淨資產收益率從一開始就不是特別高。因此,這也可能是該公司盈利增長緩慢的原因之一。

As a next step, we compared Shenzhen MTC's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 9.7% in the same period.

下一步,我們將深圳MTC的淨收入增長與行業進行了比較,失望地看到該公司的增長低於同期9.7%的行業平均增長。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002429 Past Earnings Growth October 13th 2023
深圳證交所:過去002429的收益增長2023年10月13日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen MTC is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是將進入清澈的藍色水域,還是等待沼澤水域。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是本益比,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看深圳捷運相對於其行業是高本益比還是低本益比。

Is Shenzhen MTC Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

深圳捷運公司是否有效利用了其利潤?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71% over the past three years, Shenzhen MTC has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管深圳捷運有限公司的正常三年派息率中值為29%(或過去三年的留存率為71%),但如上所述,深圳捷運公司的收益增長很小。因此,可能還有其他一些原因來解釋這方面的缺乏。例如,這項業務可能正在衰落。

In addition, Shenzhen MTC has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,深圳捷運公司在至少十年的時間裡一直在分紅,這表明繼續支付股息對管理層來說要重要得多,即使這是以犧牲業務增長為代價的。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shenzhen MTC can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

整體而言,我們覺得深圳MTC的表現可以有多種解讀。雖然該公司的利潤留存率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能正在阻礙其收益增長。儘管如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。要了解更多分析師對該公司的最新預測,請查看分析師對該公司預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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