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Arthur J. Gallagher's (NYSE:AJG) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 253% Return Over the Last Five Years

Arthur J. Gallagher's (NYSE:AJG) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 253% Return Over the Last Five Years

亞瑟·加拉格爾(紐約證券交易所代碼:AJG)的投資者將對過去五年253%的強勁回報率感到滿意
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/12 15:47

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE:AJG) share price has soared 228% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. Meanwhile the share price is 2.3% higher than it was a week ago.

最糟糕的結果是,在購買了一家公司的股票後(假設沒有槓桿),你投入的所有資金都會虧損。但當你選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,你可以製作超過100%。例如,阿瑟·J·加拉格爾公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AJG)股價在過去五年裡飆升了228%。大多數人會對此感到非常高興。與此同時,該公司股價較一週前上漲了2.3%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在也有必要看看該公司的基本面,因為這將有助於我們確定長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

View our latest analysis for Arthur J. Gallagher

查看我們對Arthur J.Gallagher的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Arthur J. Gallagher achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 27% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 45.51.

在股價增長的五年中,Arthur J.Gallagher實現了每股收益(EPS)每年10%的復合增長。這一每股收益的增長速度低於同期27%的股價增速。因此,可以公平地認為,市場對這項業務的看法比五年前更高。考慮到五年來盈利增長的記錄,這並不一定令人驚訝。這種樂觀情緒從其45.51的相當高的本益比中可見一斑。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了EPS是如何隨著時間的推移進行跟蹤的(如果您點擊該圖像,您可以看到更多詳細資訊)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:AJG Earnings Per Share Growth October 12th 2023
紐約證券交易所:AJG每股收益增長2023年10月12日

This free interactive report on Arthur J. Gallagher's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

免費如果你想進一步研究股票,關於Arthur J.Gallagher的收益、收入和現金流的互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Arthur J. Gallagher the TSR over the last 5 years was 253%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,對於Arthur J.Gallagher來說,過去5年的TSR為253%,這比上面提到的股價回報率要好。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that Arthur J. Gallagher shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 29% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Arthur J. Gallagher that you should be aware of.

很高興看到Arthur J.Gallagher的股東在過去一年中獲得了33%的總股東回報。這還包括股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年收益率為29%),看起來該股的表現在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示著一些真正的商業勢頭,意味著現在可能是深入研究的好時機。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他資訊。例如,我們已經確定對亞瑟·J·加拉格爾的3個警告信號這一點你應該知道.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單.(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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