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Investing in Yunnan Yuntianhua (SHSE:600096) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 294% Gain

Investing in Yunnan Yuntianhua (SHSE:600096) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 294% Gain

五年前投資雲南雲天化(上海證券交易所代碼:600096)將爲您帶來294%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 21:28

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Long term Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600096) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 273% in five years. In the last week shares have slid back 1.5%.

當你購買一家公司的股票時,值得記住的是它可能會倒閉,你可能會損失你的錢。但當你選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,你可以製作超過100%。長期雲南雲天化股份有限公司(上海證券交易所:600096)股東們應該很清楚這一點,因為該股在五年內上漲了273%。過去一週,該公司股價回落了1.5%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,讓我們評估一下過去5年的基本基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報同步。

Check out our latest analysis for Yunnan Yuntianhua

查看我們對雲南雲天化的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨著時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。

During five years of share price growth, Yunnan Yuntianhua achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 45% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 30% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 5.90.

在五年的股價增長中,雲南雲天化實現了每股收益(EPS)年均45%的復合增長。每股收益的增長比同期30%的年股價漲幅更令人印象深刻。因此,市場似乎對該公司變得相對悲觀。這種謹慎的情緒反映在其5.90的(相當低的)本益比上。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到EPS是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600096 Earnings Per Share Growth October 12th 2023
上海證交所:2023年10月12日每股收益增長600096

It is of course excellent to see how Yunnan Yuntianhua has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Yunnan Yuntianhua's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

看到雲南雲天化多年來的盈利增長當然很棒,但對股東來說,未來更重要。更透徹地瞭解雲南雲天化的財務健康狀況免費報告其資產負債表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Yunnan Yuntianhua the TSR over the last 5 years was 294%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,雲南雲天化過去5年的TSR為294%,好於上述股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 1.3% in the last year, Yunnan Yuntianhua shareholders lost 23% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 32%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Yunnan Yuntianhua , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管大盤去年上漲了約1.3%,但云南雲天化的股東損失了23%(甚至包括股息)。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票,在12個月的時間裡,有時也會表現遜於市場。較長期的投資者不會如此沮喪,因為他們在五年內每年會獲得32%的收益。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他資訊。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了兩個警告信號與雲南雲天化合作,瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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