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Here's Why China National Software & Service (SHSE:600536) Can Afford Some Debt

Here's Why China National Software & Service (SHSE:600536) Can Afford Some Debt

這就是爲什麼中國軟件與服務公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600536)可以負擔一些債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 20:40

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that China National Software & Service Company Limited (SHSE:600536) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理Li·Lu曾說過,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。我們注意到中國國家軟體服務有限公司(上交所:600536)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這筆債務對股東來說是一個擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,在企業中,債務可以是一個重要的工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮一家公司的債務用途時,我們首先會把現金和債務放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for China National Software & Service

查看我們對中國國家軟體和服務的最新分析

What Is China National Software & Service's Debt?

中國國家軟體服務公司的債務是什麼?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China National Software & Service had CN¥1.98b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥1.59b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥383.5m.

下面的圖表,你可以點擊查看更多詳細資訊,顯示中國國家軟體服務公司在2023年6月的債務為19.8億元人民幣,與前一年大致相同。然而,它確實有15.9億加元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨債務約為3.835億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600536 Debt to Equity History October 12th 2023
上證綜指:600536債轉股歷史2023年10月12日

A Look At China National Software & Service's Liabilities

看中國國家軟體服務公司的負債情況

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China National Software & Service had liabilities of CN¥6.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥810.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.59b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.55b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.79b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

從最近的資產負債表中我們可以看到,中國國家軟體服務公司有61.2億元的負債在一年內到期,超過這一期限的負債有8.1億元。作為對這些債務的抵銷,該公司有15.9億加元的現金以及價值35.5億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額為人民幣17.9億元,比現金和短期應收賬款的總和還要多。

Since publicly traded China National Software & Service shares are worth a total of CN¥33.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, China National Software & Service has a very light debt load indeed. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China National Software & Service's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由於上市交易的中國軟體服務股份總價值335億元人民幣,這種負債水準似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。然而,我們確實認為值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因為它可能會隨著時間的推移而變化。中國國家軟體服務公司幾乎沒有淨債務,債務負擔確實非常輕。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但最重要的是,未來的收益將決定中國國家軟體服務公司未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

In the last year China National Software & Service had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 24%, to CN¥8.6b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,中國國家軟體服務公司息稅前虧損,實際營收縮水24%,至86億加元。坦率地說,這不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

告誡買入者

While China National Software & Service's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥81m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥185m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for China National Software & Service that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然中國軟體服務公司不斷下滑的營收令人心碎,但可以說,其息稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損就更沒有吸引力了。事實上,在息稅前利潤水準上,它虧損了8100萬加元。考慮到除了上面提到的債務,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認為它的資產負債表有點緊張,但並不是無法修復。例如,我們不希望看到去年虧損1.85億元的情況重演。因此,我們確實認為這只股票風險很大。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現中國國家軟體與服務公司的1個警示標誌在這裡投資之前你應該意識到這一點。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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